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《信长之野望13:天道》连携率计算

作者: 佚名 2013-01-24 17:58

若5人队某人出战法,其他人等的连携率分别是a、b、c、d,那么5连的几率就是abcd,无连携的几率是(1-a)(1-b)(1-c)(1-d)
假设5人连携率同为x,那么

5连=x*x*x*x,                              4人连携率为y                                                      
4连=x*x*x*(1-x)*4                     4连=y*y*y                       3人连携率为z
3连=x*x*(1-x)*(1-x)*6               3连=y*y*(1-y)*3              3连=z*z
2连=x*(1-x)*(1-x)*(1-x)*4         2连=y*(1-y)*(1-y)*3        2连=z*(1-z)*2
不连=(1-x)*(1-x)*(1-x)*(1-x)      不连=(1-y)*(1-y)*(1-y)      不连=(1-z)*(1-z)

5s+鹤翼阵+军神+霸王时(100%)  4s+鹤翼阵+军神+霸王时(100%)     3s+鹤翼阵+军神+霸王时(100%
5连几率=1                                         4连=1                                                        3连=1
4连3连2连不连几率=0                         其余=0                                                       其余=0

5a+鹤翼阵+军神+霸王(90%)  4a+鹤翼阵+军神+霸王(90%)                3人队90% 
5连=0.9*0.9*0.9*0.9=0.6561         4连=0.729                             3连=0.81
4连=0.2916                                      3连=0.243                                2连=0.18
3连=0.0486                                      2连=0.027                            不连=0.01
2连=0.0036                                      不连=0.001
不连=0.0001

5s+鹤翼阵+军神(80%)     4人队80%                        3人队80%
5连=0.4096               4连=0.512                       3连=0.64
4连=0.4096               3连=0.384                        2连=0.32
3连=0.1536              2连=0.096                       不连=0.04
2连=0.0256               不连=0.008     
不连=0.0016

5a+鹤翼阵+军神(70%) 4人队70%                  3人队70&
5连=0.2401          4连=0.343                  3连=0.49
4连=0.4116           3连=0.441                  2连=0.42
3连=0.2646           2连=0.189                  不连=0.09
2连=0.0756           不连=0.027
不连=0.0081

5s+鹤翼阵(60%)        4人队60%                        3人队60%
5连=0.1296                4连=0.216                       3连=0.36
4连=0.3456                3连=0.432                       2连=0.48
3连=0.3456                 2连=0.288                       不连=0.16
2连=0.1536                 不连=0.064
不连=0.0256

5a+鹤翼阵(50%)      4人队50%                   3人队50%
5连=0.0625             4连=0.125                    3连=0.25
4连=0.2500              3连=0.375                     2连=0.50
3连=0.3750              2连=0.375                      不连=0.25
2连=0.2500              不连=0.125
不连=0.0625

5a+军神(40%)      4人队40%                       3人队40%
5连=0.0256                  4连=0.064                         3连=0.16
4连=0.1536                  3连=0.288                         2连=0.48
3连=0.3456                 2连=0.432                          不连=0.36
2连=0.3456                 不连=0.216
不连=0.1296

5s(30%)             4人队30%                          3人队30%
5连=0.0081     4连=0.027                           3连=0.09
4连=0.0756     3连=0.189                            2连=0.42
3连=0.2646     2连=0.341                            不连=0.49
2连=0.4116      不连=0.443
不连=0.2401

5a(20%)        4人队20%                  3人队20%
5连=0.0016   4连=0.008                   3连=0.04
4连=0.0256    3连=0.096                     2连=0.32
3连=0.1536   2连=0.384                     不连=064
2连=0.4096    不连=0.512
不连=0.4096

以上,即为同适性部队连携率,等了好久都没人发,我就勉力搞搞。

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